Norman Forecast Discussion

965
FXUS64 KOUN 161916
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
216 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 216 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

- Freeze Warning in effect for far northwest OK tonight into
  Saturday morning. Frost Advisory in the north and west.

- Mostly dry with a warming trend next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

Cool temperatures and gusty northerly winds have been the story
today. The wind will become light this evening as mixing decreases
and the surface ridge of high pressure moves into northwest
Oklahoma this evening. The NBM forecast low temperatures are at
the low end of the guidance envelope, but still seem reasonable
given the mostly clear skies and light winds will allow for
efficient radiational cooling tonight with a floor where
temperatures will approach the dewpoint. Temperatures near or
slightly below 32 are forecast in Harper and Ellis Counties, so
the Freeze Watch has been converted to a Freeze Warning. It will
likely not be a hard or long-duration freeze, but it will be a
freeze nonetheless. Have also issued a frost advisory for the
portions of northern and western Oklahoma where the forecast low
will be in the low to mid 30s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Saturday through Sunday night)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

The cooler weather will persist through the weekend with below
average temperatures for this time of year. Saturday will be quite
cool, but highs will be slightly warmer (but still below average)
on Sunday as the surface ridge slides southeast and surface
pressures drop across southeastern Colorado increasing the
pressure gradient and southerly winds.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 129 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

A warming trend and generally dry conditions are in store for the
early to middle part of next week as upper ridging builds over the
area and a large cutoff low develops along the California coast by
the middle of next week. The only precipitation chance during
this period (currently 008-
     010>016-021-022-033-034.

TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...26
SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM....08
AVIATION...14

NWS OUN Office Area Forecast Discussion